Ranked boards with hard gates
See the current call and put radar, what evidence is missing, and why a high score is not automatically a trade.
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The Best Chance DailyOptions education · Market researchOptions education with a public scorecard
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One home for the weekly videos, master option boards, reusable decision tools, and honest follow-through. We rank the research, wait for evidence, and keep the losses visible too.
- Dated research snapshots
- Education before urgency
- No-trade is a valid result
R1 contract radar · August 11, 2026 Frozen snapshot
#1 CallNOK
Sep 18 · $10 Call
Score 73.6#1 PutSPCX
Sep 18 · $125 Put
Score 73.1Calls78 → 77 → 10
Puts59 → 59 → 10
Current status: edge not established · no candidate is actionable yet.
Separate discoveryA liquid option is not proof the stock will move.
Confirm the triggerPrice, volume, sector, and catalyst must agree.
Measure after costsAsk-to-bid results include quoted spread drag.
Built as a complete research platform
Watch. Research. Review.
The Best Chance Daily connects the channel to the tools behind it. Start with the free public layer, then go deeper only when the paid Research Desk is ready to earn your trust.
A continuous five-day story
Prepare Monday, rank Tuesday, learn Wednesday, plan Thursday, and review every result Friday.
See the weekly schedule →A future desk that keeps watching
Follow which candidates advance, fade, trigger, or invalidate—with timestamps and the evidence behind each change.
Preview the Live Desk →What the data says now
Do not optimize around hope.
The first completed forward observations show that contract quality alone is not an edge. That is useful evidence: it tells us exactly which missing layers the master board must add.
Five-session evidence currently covers only 20 contracts, so it is too small for a confident claim. A “majority winners” claim will require at least 100 out-of-sample triggered setups, positive net expectancy, and a 95% win-rate lower bound above 50%.
The new master-board ladder
Four gates. One permission level.
Only a candidate that clears all four gates can be labeled decision-ready. Today’s Barchart export supplies Gate R1.
R1Live now
Contract radar
Find liquid option contracts worth investigating.
R2Data needed
Underlying setup
Require trend, sector strength, compression, and catalyst context.
R3Data needed
Trigger confirmed
Require price and relative-volume confirmation without chasing extension.
R4Data needed
Contract + risk
Require live spread, volatility value, invalidation, and position-size approval.
Ranking rule
Hard gates before weighted scores. Missing data cannot receive a neutral score; it blocks advancement.
Latest contract radar
The master call and put lists.
Snapshot dated August 11, 2026. These R1 lists rank contract characteristics and show whether a symbol is strengthening, holding, fading, or new across prior boards. They do not yet measure the stock setup or predict returns.
Bullish-side research
Top 10 Calls
| Rank | Ticker | Contract | Radar | Move / IVR | Delta / Prob | Vol / OI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | NOKStrengthening · 5 boards | Sep 18 · $10 CallAsk $0.54 · 38 DTE | 73.6↑ 2 rank | 11.7%IVR 45% | 0.43Prob 29% | 6,470 / 42,149 |
| 02 | LUMNStrengthening · 2 boards | Sep 18 · $7 CallAsk $0.49 · 38 DTE | 73.3↑ 1 rank | 17.4%IVR 13% | 0.38Prob 31% | 1,224 / 22,358 |
| 03 | SOFIFading · 3 boards | Sep 18 · $19 CallAsk $0.75 · 38 DTE | 72.7↓ 2 rank | 9.8%IVR 2% | 0.40Prob 28% | 1,589 / 10,395 |
| 04 | TSLAStrengthening · 5 boards | Sep 18 · $350 CallAsk $10.50 · 38 DTE | 72.7↑ 1 rank | 8.3%IVR 0% | 0.38Prob 27% | 1,571 / 5,483 |
| 05 | PLTRStrengthening · 6 boards | Sep 18 · $185 CallAsk $7.00 · 38 DTE | 72.0↑ 4 rank | 9.8%IVR 20% | 0.40Prob 27% | 2,798 / 7,511 |
| 06 | NIOStrengthening · 2 boards | Sep 18 · $5 CallAsk $0.21 · 38 DTE | 71.6↑ 1 rank | 12.8%IVR 17% | 0.38Prob 26% | 2,012 / 7,122 |
| 07 | SPCXFading · 2 boards | Sep 18 · $145 CallAsk $7.75 · 38 DTE | 71.1↓ 5 rank | 14.6%IVR 0% | 0.40Prob 27% | 3,455 / 3,445 |
| 08 | WULFNew radar · 1 boards | Sep 18 · $18 CallAsk $1.54 · 38 DTE | 71.0New rank | 16.7%IVR 16% | 0.44Prob 32% | 1,823 / 34,878 |
| 09 | ORCLNew radar · 1 boards | Sep 18 · $160 CallAsk $8.10 · 38 DTE | 70.1New rank | 15.6%IVR 62% | 0.39Prob 27% | 3,786 / 20,872 |
| 10 | INTCFading · 2 boards | Sep 18 · $105 CallAsk $6.10 · 38 DTE | 69.7↓ 2 rank | 13.7%IVR 44% | 0.42Prob 29% | 13,138 / 5,925 |
Bearish-side research
Top 10 Puts
| Rank | Ticker | Contract | Radar | Move / IVR | Delta / Prob | Vol / OI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | SPCXStrengthening · 6 boards | Sep 18 · $125 PutAsk $7.65 · 38 DTE | 73.1↑ 1 rank | 12.0%IVR 0% | -0.34Prob 28% | 2,207 / 17,768 |
| 02 | SOFIStrengthening · 4 boards | Sep 18 · $17 PutAsk $0.64 · 38 DTE | 68.5↑ 3 rank | 9.0%IVR 2% | -0.32Prob 27% | 766 / 14,693 |
| 03 | RGTINew radar · 1 boards | Sep 18 · $17 PutAsk $1.33 · 38 DTE | 68.1New rank | 13.4%IVR 5% | -0.35Prob 29% | 289 / 21,866 |
| 04 | INTCHolding · 4 boards | Sep 18 · $90 PutAsk $4.90 · 38 DTE | 66.4— rank | 12.9%IVR 44% | -0.31Prob 26% | 2,229 / 21,040 |
| 05 | CDENew radar · 1 boards | Sep 18 · $17.5 PutAsk $1.10 · 38 DTE | 65.3New rank | 11.7%IVR 28% | -0.34Prob 28% | 1,617 / 3,966 |
| 06 | ENPHNew radar · 1 boards | Sep 18 · $40 PutAsk $2.71 · 38 DTE | 64.8New rank | 11.8%IVR 27% | -0.35Prob 29% | 623 / 5,516 |
| 07 | AMDNew radar · 1 boards | Sep 18 · $450 PutAsk $22.95 · 38 DTE | 64.4New rank | 10.0%IVR 36% | -0.35Prob 28% | 949 / 4,296 |
| 08 | NXENew radar · 1 boards | Sep 18 · $10 PutAsk $0.60 · 38 DTE | 63.7New rank | 11.0%IVR 10% | -0.35Prob 27% | 225 / 8,119 |
| 09 | MARAFading · 5 boards | Sep 18 · $9 PutAsk $0.70 · 38 DTE | 63.4↓ 6 rank | 14.3%IVR 36% | -0.34Prob 29% | 391 / 13,550 |
| 10 | MSTRHolding · 3 boards | Sep 18 · $90 PutAsk $5.60 · 38 DTE | 63.4— rank | 12.2%IVR 27% | -0.34Prob 28% | 730 / 4,486 |
Not live pricing. Every row is R1 research only. A ranking is not permission to buy; R2–R4 must be completed first.
Run the 10-question check ↓The complete decision check
Ten questions before one contract.
The checklist slows the decision down at the exact places where an exciting chart can hide a poor option contract.
- 01
Trigger
What underlying-price move must happen before the idea becomes actionable?
- 02
Contract
Which strike and expiration are you actually evaluating?
- 03
Spread
Is the bid/ask spread acceptable for a patient limit order?
- 04
Liquidity
Do volume and open interest support the plan?
- 05
Required move
How far must the underlying move to reach break-even?
- 06
Option risk
What do delta, implied volatility, and event risk change?
- 07
Invalidation
What evidence would prove the setup wrong?
- 08
No-trade rule
What conditions mean you should walk away?
- 09
Defined risk
What is the maximum planned loss and position-size rule?
- 10
Review
When will the result be scored honestly—including no-trades?
Keep it beside your watchlist. Check every gate while the idea is still only a candidate.
Download checklist ↓The disciplined process
A ranking starts the research. It does not end the decision.
The Best Chance Market Desk turns noisy options data into a readable sequence: prepare the evidence, rank the candidates, verify the contract, define the decision, and review what actually happened.
- 01PrepareFreeze the evidence and market context.
- 02RankCompare candidates without promising outcomes.
- 03VerifyCheck liquidity, events, and live conditions.
- 04DecideUse triggers, invalidations, and no-trade rules.
- 05ReviewScore every published idea honestly.
Evidence behind the upgrade
Use signals for the job they can do.
Research supports momentum, earnings drift, selected option-flow information, and rapid filing data as useful inputs. None of them guarantees a winner, and several require data that the current export does not contain.
MomentumPast relative strength can persist
Use medium-horizon strength as context, not a standalone entry.
Short horizonContinuation can turn into reversalRequire a fresh trigger instead of chasing several days of movement.
Option flowDirection matters more than raw volumeOpening buyer-initiated flow is not equivalent to total contract volume.
CatalystsSEC filings can be monitored quickly8-K, financial facts, and submission history can add dated event context.
ExecutionThe spread is part of the setupBid, ask, and liquidity must be gates—not footnotes after ranking.
Follow the full week
One continuous trading story.
Prepare, rank, learn, position, and review—without deleting the inconvenient results.
Week Ahead
Weekend changes and the decision map
Ranked Watchlist
Candidates, triggers, and near-misses
Strategy Lab
One reusable options lesson
Friday Game Plan
Continuation, reversal, and no-trade paths
Weekly Scorecard
Triggered, blocked, and never-triggered ideas
A recurring product built around usefulness
Choose how deep you want to go.
The public research stays useful. Paid membership adds organization, education, and access—never secret guaranteed picks, urgent trade alerts, or personalized portfolio instructions.
Free Desk
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- Weekly YouTube videos and Shorts
- Public call and put radar
- Options decision checklist
- Published scorecard evidence
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Research Desk
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- Weekly planning worksheet
- Historical scorecard archive
- Scanner-methodology lessons
- Member Live Desk access after launch gates
Real-time or near-real-time data access may require a separate add-on or revised price after vendor and exchange licensing costs are known. Prices above are launch-test prices and may change before checkout opens.
Start with the next decision
Better odds begin with better questions.
Download the checklist now, then see what the Research Desk will add when membership launches.